← EFL League One 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sebastian Stockbridge, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Wigan win | 31% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bradford −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Jensen Weir · Wigan |
| 45' | ⚽ | Stephen Humphrys · Bradford |
| 46' | 🟨 | Jenson Metcalfe · Bradford |
| 54' | 🟨 | Will Aimson · Wigan |
| 63' | ⚽ | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 65' | 🟨 | Max Power · Bradford |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jensen Weir · Wigan |
| 70' | 🟥 | Jensen Weir · Wigan |
| 86' | 🟥 | Matthew Smith · Wigan |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joe Wright · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bradford | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Valley Parade |
| coach days | 147.00 | 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.48 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1610.19 | 1525.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.96 | 2.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 37.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.19 | 0.16 |
| solidity v1 | 0.21 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 65.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.74 | 0.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.70 |