← EFL League One 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Coy, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 48% | 1.96 |
| Mansfield win | 27% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Barnsley −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Reyes Cleary · Barnsley |
| 13' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Louis Reed · Mansfield |
| 33' | 🟨 | Elliott Hewitt · Mansfield |
| 58' | ⚽ | Stephen McLaughlin · Mansfield |
| 71' | 🟨 | Stephen McLaughlin · Mansfield |
| 83' | ⚽ | Aaron Lewis · Mansfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nathan Moriah-Welsh · Mansfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Baily Cargill · Mansfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 147.00 | 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1534.96 | 1494.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.18 | -51.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -1.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | — |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| league points | 28.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -1.02 |
| solidity v1 | -0.29 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| state index | 0.09 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 0.82 |