← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Craig Hicks, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 36% | 2.55 |
| Wycombe win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Wycombe +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Thierry Gale · Bolton |
| 40' | ⚽ | Jack Grimmer · Wycombe |
| 43' | ⚽ | Junior Quitirna · Wycombe |
| 69' | 🟨 | Cauley Woodrow · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Will Norris · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 6 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| 141.00 |
| 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1601.87 | 1591.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.41 | 28.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.64 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 25.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.96 |
| solidity v1 | 0.20 | 1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 0.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.85 | 1.49 |