← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthew Russell, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Rotherham win | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Rotherham +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Daniel Gore · Rotherham |
| 26' | ⚽ | Lynden Gooch · Huddersfield |
| 30' | ⚽ | Bojan Radulović · Huddersfield |
| 44' | ⚽ | Leo Castledine · Huddersfield |
| 70' | 🟨 | Lynden Gooch · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cameron Dawson · Rotherham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sam Nombe · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 4 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Aesseal New York Stadium |
| coach days |
| 141.00 |
| 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1515.73 | 1501.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.57 | -18.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 24.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.95 | 0.43 |
| solidity v1 | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.36 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.78 |