← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Kirsty Dowle, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Peterboro win | 31% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Port Vale −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Jaheim Headley · Port Vale |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jimmy Morgan · Peterboro |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ben Heneghan · Port Vale |
| 83' | ⚽ | Harry Leonard · Peterboro |
| 87' | 🟨 | Devante Cole · Port Vale |
| 90' | 🟨 | Harry Leonard · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Vale Park |
| coach days | 141.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1374.52 | 1420.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.37 | 28.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| league points | 15.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 59.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.36 | 0.76 |
| solidity v1 | 0.04 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| state index | -1.05 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.60 |