← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alan Young, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 45% | 2.01 |
| Mansfield win | 28% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Mansfield +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Ethan Pye · Stockport |
| 28' | ⚽ (og) | Kyle Wootton · Mansfield |
| 41' | 🟨 | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 42' | ⚽ (og) | Ryan Sweeney · Stockport |
| 61' | 🟨 | Brad Hills · Stockport |
| 66' | 🟨 | Adedeji Oshilaja · Mansfield |
| 69' | ⚽ | Jack Diamond · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mansfield | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | One Call Stadium |
| coach days | 141.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1502.54 | 1641.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -53.71 | -67.62 |
| eye test v1 | -1.62 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.64 |
| league points | 23.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.93 | -0.09 |
| solidity v1 | -1.14 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.94 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.86 | 1.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.14 |