← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Will Finnie, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Leyton Orient win | 32% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Bradford +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Stephen Humphrys · Bradford |
| 28' | 🟨 | Joe Wright · Bradford |
| 36' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tyreeq Bakinson · Leyton Orient |
| 55' | 🟨 | Brad Halliday · Bradford |
| 58' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 65' | 🟨 | Charlie Wellens · Leyton Orient |
| 75' | 🟨 | Daniel Happe · Leyton Orient |
| 77' | 🟨 | Aden Baldwin · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Brisbane Road |
| coach days |
| 141.00 |
| 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1587.72 | 1619.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.50 | 8.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 25.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | -0.93 |
| solidity v1 | 0.35 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.28 |