← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ross Joyce, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 52% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Plymouth win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Plymouth −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Brandon Hanlan · Doncaster |
| 11' | ⚽ | Lorent Tolaj · Plymouth |
| 22' | ⚽ | — · Plymouth |
| 23' | ⚽ | Lorent Tolaj · Plymouth |
| 62' | 🟨 | Owen Bailey · Doncaster |
| 62' | 🟨 | Joe Ralls · Plymouth |
| 63' | 🟨 | Bali Mumba · Plymouth |
| 72' | 🟨 | Thimothee Lo-Tutala · Doncaster |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Lorent Tolaj · Plymouth |
| 89' | ⚽ | Xavier Amaechi · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 15 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Eco-Power Stadium |
| coach days |
| 141.00 |
| 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1522.83 | 1426.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.71 | 19.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -1.26 |
| solidity v1 | 0.25 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 0.81 |