← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: John Busby, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 45% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
| Blackpool win | 25% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −0.5 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Wigan −0.5 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Dara Costelloe · Wigan |
| 42' | 🟨 | Fraser Horsfall · Blackpool |
| 45' | 🟨 | Oliver Casey · Blackpool |
| 49' | 🟨 | James Husband · Blackpool |
| 59' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 64' | ⚽ | Dale Taylor · Blackpool |
| 83' | 🟨 | Raphael Rodrigues · Wigan |
| 88' | 🟨 | Andy Lyons · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Brick Community Stadium |
| coach days | 141.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1475.87 | 1467.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.11 | -6.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| league points | 26.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.58 |
| solidity v1 | 0.85 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.98 | 27.37 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 38.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 1.71 |