← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Will Finnie, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 53% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Stevenage win | 19% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Stevenage −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Chem Campbell · Stevenage |
| 53' | ⚽ | Jamie Reid · Stevenage |
| 62' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
| 64' | ⚽ | Louis Thompson · Stevenage |
| 79' | 🟨 | Lewis Freestone · Stevenage |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jack Hunt · Stockport |
| 85' | 🟨 | Daniel Phillips · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 134.00 | 621.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1662.99 | 1563.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.48 | -15.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -1.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 32.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 6.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | -1.50 |
| solidity v1 | 0.33 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 0.63 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.05 |