← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: John Busby, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 49% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Northampton win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Peterboro −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟥 | Jack Perkins · Northampton |
| 45' | ⚽ | Harry Leonard · Peterboro |
| 48' | ⚽ | Harry Leonard · Peterboro |
| 52' | 🟨 | Peter Kioso · Peterboro |
| 69' | ⚽ | Tom Eaves · Northampton |
| 89' | 🟨 | Harry Leonard · Peterboro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matthew Garbett · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 31 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.86 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 134.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1489.39 | 1504.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.90 | -7.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 45.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 19.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | -1.07 |
| solidity v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.31 |