← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Paul Howard, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Reading win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Reading −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan · Reading |
| 47' | 🟨 | Paudie O’Connor · Reading |
| 56' | ⚽ | Antoni Sarcevic · Bradford |
| 84' | ⚽ | Bobby Pointon · Bradford |
| 86' | 🟨 | Brad Halliday · Bradford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kelvin Abrefa · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bradford | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Valley Parade |
| coach days | 134.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1609.16 | 1554.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.88 | 11.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| league points | 34.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -0.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.36 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 270.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 0.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.57 |