← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sebastian Stockbridge, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Blackpool win | 32% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Lincoln +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Jack Moylan · Lincoln |
| 11' | 🟨 | Ryley Towler · Lincoln |
| 13' | 🟨 | Tom Bayliss · Lincoln |
| 18' | ⚽ | Robert Street · Lincoln |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Lee Evans · Blackpool |
| 84' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Imray · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 134.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1467.63 | 1512.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.11 | -3.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.10 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 19.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.61 |
| solidity v1 | -1.14 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.09 | 27.69 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.12 | 1.50 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 1.17 |