← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Simon Mather, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 47% | 1.96 |
| Leyton Orient win | 27% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Barnsley −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Reyes Cleary · Barnsley |
| 27' | 🟨 | Murphy Cooper · Barnsley |
| 30' | ⚽ (pen) | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 38' | ⚽ | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 51' | 🟨 | Michael Craig · Leyton Orient |
| 76' | 🟨 | Tyreeq Bakinson · Leyton Orient |
| 77' | ⚽ | Jon Russell · Barnsley |
| 85' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 134.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1542.84 | 1597.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.14 | 3.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 25.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 64.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -1.11 |
| solidity v1 | 0.19 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.35 |