← EFL League One 2025-26 · Wed, Dec 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Neil Hair, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 37% | 2.55 |
| Rotherham win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Rotherham +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.73 |
| Over | 38% | 2.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Daniel Imray · Blackpool |
| 18' | ⚽ | Tom Bloxham · Blackpool |
| 20' | 🟨 | Jordan Brown · Blackpool |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kian Spence · Rotherham |
| 61' | 🟨 | Bailey Peacock-Farrell · Blackpool |
| 82' | 🟨 | Fraser Horsfall · Blackpool |
| 85' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Aesseal New York Stadium |
| coach days |
| 131.00 |
| 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1549.32 | 1516.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.02 | -5.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 45.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.73 |
| league points | 24.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 11.20 | 11.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.39 | 0.01 |
| solidity v1 | 0.07 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 2.18 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.44 |