← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Dec 9, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Craig Hicks, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Peterboro win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Reading −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | — · Peterboro |
| 38' | 🟨 | Benjamin Woods · Peterboro |
| 52' | 🟨 | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan · Reading |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jimmy Morgan · Peterboro |
| 60' | ⚽ | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan · Reading |
| 68' | ⚽ | Harry Leonard · Peterboro |
| 73' | 🟨 | Harley Mills · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 130.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1568.54 | 1475.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.92 | 22.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 22.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 10.31 | 10.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.73 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 0.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.27 |