← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Dec 9, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Peter Wright, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 57% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Plymouth win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Plymouth −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Owen Dale · Plymouth |
| 34' | 🟨 | Malachi Boateng · Plymouth |
| 56' | 🟨 | Matthew Sorinola · Plymouth |
| 61' | ⚽ | — · Plymouth |
| 63' | 🟨 | Owen Oseni · Plymouth |
| 80' | 🟨 | Brendon Galloway · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kornél Szűcs · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 130.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1619.65 | 1397.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.17 | -25.57 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | -1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 24.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 10.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.20 |
| state index | 0.92 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |