← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Dec 9, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Darren Drysdale, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Leyton Orient win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton +0 | 58% | 1.80 |
| Leyton Orient +0 | 42% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Liam Walsh · Luton |
| 50' | ⚽ | Theodore Archibald · Leyton Orient |
| 62' | 🟨 | Daniel Happe · Leyton Orient |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mads Juel Andersen · Luton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gideon Kodua · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Brisbane Road |
| coach days | 130.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1602.36 | 1480.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.38 | 27.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.61 |
| league points | 24.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 10.20 | 10.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 27.31 |
| state index | 0.62 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |