← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Dec 9, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Martin Woods, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Stockport win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster +0 | 56% | 1.83 |
| Stockport +0 | 44% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Joseph Olowu · Stockport |
| 38' | 🟨 | Billy Sharp · Doncaster |
| 40' | 🟨 | George Broadbent · Doncaster |
| 55' | 🟨 | Luke Molyneux · Doncaster |
| 59' | ⚽ | Ben Osborn · Stockport |
| 66' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ben Osborn · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | Owen Bailey · Doncaster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Eco-Power Stadium |
| coach days |
| 130.00 |
| 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1544.47 | 1649.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.25 | -41.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 22.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 10.20 | 10.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |