← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Elliot Bell, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 46% | 2.01 |
| Huddersfield win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Cardiff −0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Yousef Salech · Cardiff |
| 45' | 🟨 | Joel Bagan · Cardiff |
| 51' | ⚽ | Leo Castledine · Huddersfield |
| 62' | ⚽ | Yousef Salech · Cardiff |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Huddersfield |
| 86' | ⚽ | Isaak Davies · Cardiff |
| 89' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alex Robertson · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 127.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 4.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1498.61 | 1508.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.43 | 7.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 32.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 261.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |