← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sebastian Stockbridge, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Rotherham win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Rotherham +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Connor Taylor · Wycombe |
| 14' | ⚽ | Jamie Mullins · Wycombe |
| 39' | 🟨 | Daniel Gore · Rotherham |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jack Grimmer · Wycombe |
| 66' | 🟨 | Kian Spence · Rotherham |
| 70' | ⚽ | Kian Spence · Rotherham |
| 81' | 🟨 | Reece James · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Aesseal New York Stadium |
| coach days |
| 120.00 |
| 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1549.01 | 1619.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.84 | 31.28 |
| eye test v1 | -1.29 | 1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.69 |
| league points | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.71 | 0.39 |
| solidity v1 | 0.09 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 7.20 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.54 | 1.73 |