β EFL League One 2025-26 Β· Sat, Nov 29, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Oliver Yates, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 46% | 2.01 |
| Peterboro win | 27% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster β0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Peterboro β0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | β½ | Jordan Gibson Β· Doncaster |
| 24' | β½ | Jordan Gibson Β· Doncaster |
| 32' | π¨ | Brandon Hanlan Β· Doncaster |
| 33' | π¨ | Harry Clifton Β· Doncaster |
| 34' | π¨ | Peter Kioso Β· Peterboro |
| 50' | β½ | Harry Leonard Β· Peterboro |
| 65' | π¨ | Connor O'Riordan Β· Doncaster |
| 69' | π¨ | Jay McGrath Β· Doncaster |
| 76' | π¨ | James Maxwell Β· Doncaster |
| 77' | π¨ | Benjamin Woods Β· Peterboro |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Eco-Power Stadium |
| coach days |
| 120.00 |
| 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1537.68 | 1482.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.36 | 42.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 1.15 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.65 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.50 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.05 | 1.30 |