← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Thomas Parsons, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Reading win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Reading +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Oliver Casey · Blackpool |
| 28' | ⚽ | Kami Doyle · Reading |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Lewis Wing · Reading |
| 81' | ⚽ | Randell Williams · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 120.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 2.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1535.91 | 1548.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.36 | 3.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.73 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.71 |
| league points | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -0.57 |
| solidity v1 | -0.72 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 299.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 0.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 0.60 |