← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Nov 25, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: E Duckworth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 36% | 3.50 |
| Stevenage win | 35% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.25 | 58% | 2.00 |
| Peterboro −0.25 | 42% | 3.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Jamie Reid · Stevenage |
| 56' | 🟨 | Luther James-Wildin · Stevenage |
| 58' | 🟨 | Thomas O'Connor · Peterboro |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jimmy Morgan · Peterboro |
| 72' | 🟨 | Matthew Garbett · Peterboro |
| 72' | 🟨 | Lewis Freestone · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 116.00 | 603.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1491.61 | 1566.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.47 | -13.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | -0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| league points | 16.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 63.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 4.99 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | -1.14 |
| solidity v1 | 0.59 | 1.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 0.59 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.21 |