← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Nov 25, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Andrew Humphries, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
| Huddersfield win | 27% | 3.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton −0.25 | 51% | 1.98 |
| Huddersfield −0.25 | 49% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Jake Richards · Luton |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marcus Harness · Huddersfield |
| 64' | ⚽ | Leo Castledine · Huddersfield |
| 71' | ⚽ | Jerry Yates · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 116.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.95 | 4.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1525.91 | 1462.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.14 | 0.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.72 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 23.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.23 | 26.11 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.08 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 216.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |