← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver Langford, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 46% | 2.01 |
| Lincoln win | 28% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln −0.5 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Wycombe −0.5 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 16' | ⚽ | Sam Bell · Wycombe |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sam Bell · Wycombe |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jack Moylan · Lincoln |
| 64' | ⚽ | Justin Obikwu · Lincoln |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ewan Henderson · Wycombe |
| 76' | ⚽ | Freddie Draper · Lincoln |
| 88' | ⚽ | Jack Grimmer · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 113.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1612.61 | 1578.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.97 | -7.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 20.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -1.22 |
| solidity v1 | 0.74 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.96 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 1.42 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.73 | 0.74 |