← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alan Young, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 54% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
| Rotherham win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Reading −0.75 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Josh Benson · Rotherham |
| 24' | 🟨 | Josh Benson · Rotherham |
| 33' | 🟨 | Matt Ritchie · Reading |
| 58' | 🟨 | Dru Yearwood · Rotherham |
| 78' | ⚽ | Charlie Savage · Reading |
| 88' | 🟨 | Hamish Douglas · Rotherham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andy Yiadom · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days |
| 113.00 |
| 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1550.47 | 1547.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.53 | 37.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -1.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 15.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 6.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -1.79 |
| solidity v1 | 0.94 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.48 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |