← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sam Allison, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 53% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Blackpool win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Blackpool −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Aaron Connolly · Leyton Orient |
| 30' | 🟨 | Michael Ihiekwe · Blackpool |
| 33' | 🟨 | Tyreeq Bakinson · Leyton Orient |
| 35' | 🟨 | Tayo Adaramola · Leyton Orient |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 47' | 🟨 | Tayo Adaramola · Leyton Orient |
| 47' | 🟥 | Tayo Adaramola · Leyton Orient |
| 54' | 🟨 | Fraser Horsfall · Blackpool |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Azeem Abdulai · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Brisbane Road |
| coach days |
| 113.00 |
| 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1586.29 | 1532.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.15 | 6.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -0.68 |
| solidity v1 | 0.04 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.39 |