← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Darren Drysdale, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 53% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
| Bradford win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bradford −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Ibou Touray · Bradford |
| 29' | 🟨 | Matthew Pennington · Bradford |
| 38' | 🟨 | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 67' | 🟨 | George Johnston · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cyrus Christie · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Max Power · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days |
| 113.00 |
| 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1578.08 | 1596.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.51 | -21.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 48.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| league points | 26.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 1.13 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.89 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 56.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.79 | 1.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 1.72 |