← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Rock, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Doncaster win | 25% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Lincoln −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | — · Lincoln |
| 36' | 🟨 | George Broadbent · Doncaster |
| 38' | 🟨 | James Maxwell · Doncaster |
| 44' | 🟨 | James Collins · Lincoln |
| 70' | ⚽ | Brandon Hanlan · Doncaster |
| 71' | ⚽ (og) | Robbie Gotts · Lincoln |
| 84' | 🟨 | Dom Jefferies · Lincoln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brandon Hanlan · Doncaster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lincoln | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | LNER stadium |
| coach days |
| 106.00 |
| 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1570.94 | 1542.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.04 | -44.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| league points | 25.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.21 | 0.44 |
| solidity v1 | 0.99 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 0.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.81 | 2.05 |