← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Simon Mather, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 40% | 2.30 |
| AFC Wimbledon win | 31% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon −0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Peterboro −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Harry Leonard · Peterboro |
| 15' | 🟨 | Isaac Ogundere · AFC Wimbledon |
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Harry Leonard · Peterboro |
| 22' | 🟨 | Thomas O'Connor · Peterboro |
| 36' | ⚽ | Kyrell Lisbie · Peterboro |
| 48' | 🟨 | Peter Kioso · Peterboro |
| 77' | ⚽ | Gustav Lindgren · Peterboro |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gustav Lindgren · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 99.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1443.50 | 1563.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.68 | 19.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| league points | 10.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 14.04 | 14.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | -1.30 |
| solidity v1 | 0.10 | 1.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 0.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.89 |