← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Stephen Parkinson, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 37% | 2.45 |
| Exeter win | 33% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Exeter +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 31' | 🟨 | Jayden Wareham · Exeter |
| 53' | ⚽ | Jayden Wareham · Exeter |
| 64' | 🟨 | Matthew Smith · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | St James Park |
| coach days | 99.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 4.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1497.02 | 1522.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.27 | -19.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 15.83 | 14.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | -1.05 |
| solidity v1 | 0.34 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.77 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.06 |