← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Darren Drysdale, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Barnsley win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Barnsley −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Vimal Yoganathan · Barnsley |
| 38' | ⚽ | Luke Molyneux · Doncaster |
| 55' | 🟨 | Vimal Yoganathan · Barnsley |
| 68' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marc Roberts · Barnsley |
| 88' | 🟨 | Luca Connell · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Nixon · Doncaster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Eco-Power Stadium |
| coach days |
| 99.00 |
| 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1555.12 | 1523.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.60 | -30.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.70 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 65.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| league points | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 14.04 | 14.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| solidity v1 | 0.66 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.53 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.44 | 1.58 |