← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Madley, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 47% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Blackpool win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cardiff +0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Michael Ihiekwe · Blackpool |
| 45' | 🟨 | Rubin Colwill · Cardiff |
| 47' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 69' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 79' | 🟨 | Calum Chambers · Cardiff |
| 81' | ⚽ | Tom Bloxham · Blackpool |
| 85' | 🟨 | Zachary Ashworth · Blackpool |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yousef Salech · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 28 |
| 9 | On target | 11 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 99.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1531.51 | 1472.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.57 | 26.18 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.82 |
| league points | 12.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 62.80 |
| rest days | 14.04 | 14.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | 0.69 |
| solidity v1 | -0.75 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.24 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 259.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.94 | 1.25 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.15 |