β EFL League One 2025-26 Β· Sat, Nov 8, 12:30 PM UTC Β· ref: Martin Woods, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Leyton Orient win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient β0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Wycombe β0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | β½ | Fred Onyedinma Β· Wycombe |
| 10' | π¨ | Will Norris Β· Wycombe |
| 11' | β½ (pen) | Aaron Connolly Β· Leyton Orient |
| 16' | β½ | Fred Onyedinma Β· Wycombe |
| 17' | π¨ | Azeem Abdulai Β· Leyton Orient |
| 26' | π¨ | Killian Cahill Β· Leyton Orient |
| 30' | β½ | Dan Casey Β· Wycombe |
| 34' | π¨ | Thomas James Β· Leyton Orient |
| 75' | β½ | Sam Bell Β· Wycombe |
| 77' | π¨ | Cauley Woodrow Β· Wycombe |
| 90' | π¨ | Alex Lowry Β· Wycombe |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days |
| 99.00 |
| 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1598.98 | 1594.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.56 | -11.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| league points | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 13.94 | 13.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.41 |
| solidity v1 | 0.59 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.26 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 1.02 |