← EFL League One 2025-26 · Thu, Nov 6, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: B Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Reading win | 32% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Reading +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Charlie Savage · Reading |
| 10' | 🟨 | Jeriel Dorsett · Reading |
| 29' | 🟨 | Lewis Freestone · Stevenage |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel Kyerewaa · Reading |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jordan Houghton · Stevenage |
| 70' | 🟨 | Matt Ritchie · Reading |
| 86' | 🟨 | Daniel Phillips · Stevenage |
| 88' | 🟨 | Harvey White · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 97.00 | 584.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1541.12 | 1578.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.86 | 18.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| league points | 15.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 61.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 12.25 | 12.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -0.87 |
| solidity v1 | 0.89 | 1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 0.44 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.49 | 1.84 |