← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Speedie, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
| Rotherham win | 24% | 3.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Rotherham −0.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.85 |
| Under | 45% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Marc Roberts · Barnsley |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jack Shepherd · Barnsley |
| 55' | 🟨 | Patrick Kelly · Barnsley |
| 63' | 🟨 | Luca Connell · Barnsley |
| 64' | ⚽ | Kian Spence · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 85.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1465.16 | 1424.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.30 | 8.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.20 | 45.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | -1.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 24.66 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |