← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Scott Oldham, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Rotherham win | 34% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient +0 | 52% | 1.95 |
| Rotherham +0 | 48% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.98 |
| Under | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Jordan Hugill · Rotherham |
| 21' | 🟨 | Sean Clare · Leyton Orient |
| 27' | 🟨 | Idris El Mizouni · Leyton Orient |
| 29' | 🟨 | Kian Spence · Rotherham |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel Gore · Rotherham |
| 57' | ⚽ | Sam Nombe · Rotherham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Happe · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 12 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Aesseal New York Stadium |
| coach days |
| 78.00 |
| 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1509.38 | 1596.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.64 | -23.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.83 |
| league points | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |