← EFL League One 2025-26 · Thu, Oct 16, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: O Yates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 36% | 2.65 |
| Bolton win | 36% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield +0 | 51% | 1.98 |
| Bolton +0 | 49% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Leo Castledine · Huddersfield |
| 27' | 🟨 | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 29' | 🟨 | Amario Cozier-Duberry · Bolton |
| 36' | 🟨 | Joe Taylor · Huddersfield |
| 85' | 🟨 | Richard Taylor · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mason Burstow · Bolton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sam Dalby · Bolton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Amario Cozier-Duberry · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | John Smit |
| coach days |
| 76.00 |
| 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1512.04 | 1546.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.43 | -10.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| league points | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 12.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.36 | — |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 51.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |