← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E Duckworth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Doncaster win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Doncaster −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 24' | 🟨 | Jay McGrath · Doncaster |
| 27' | ⚽ | Aaron Connolly · Leyton Orient |
| 49' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 72' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Idris El Mizouni · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.12 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Brisbane Road |
| coach days | 71.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1496.64 | 1437.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.66 | -25.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| league points | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.57 | 27.67 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |