← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ben Toner, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Stockport win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Huddersfield −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Leo Castledine · Huddersfield |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 48' | 🟨 | Tyler Onyango · Stockport |
| 53' | 🟨 | Tyler Onyango · Stockport |
| 53' | 🟥 | Tyler Onyango · Stockport |
| 64' | 🟨 | Brad Hills · Stockport |
| 78' | ⚽ | Odin Bailey · Stockport |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ruben Roosken · Huddersfield |
| 90' | ⚽ | Bojan Radulović · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | John Smit |
| coach days | 64.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1519.21 | 1680.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.33 | -33.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.73 |
| league points | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.36 | — |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |