← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Ross Joyce, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
| Barnsley win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Wycombe −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.77 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Reyes Cleary · Barnsley |
| 43' | 🟨 | Murphy Cooper · Barnsley |
| 50' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jonathan Bland · Barnsley |
| 74' | 🟨 | Cauley Woodrow · Wycombe |
| 88' | ⚽ | Sam Bell · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alex Lowry · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 64.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1581.79 | 1528.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.41 | -18.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 61.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |