← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: David Rock, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Exeter win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Exeter +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.98 |
| Over | 50% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Reece Cole · Exeter |
| 28' | ⚽ | Leo Castledine · Huddersfield |
| 39' | 🟨 | Ilmari Niskanen · Exeter |
| 53' | 🟨 | Marcus Harness · Huddersfield |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jack Fitzwater · Exeter |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 22 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | St James Park |
| coach days | 57.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 3.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1486.75 | 1508.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.44 | -7.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 50.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.51 |
| league points | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.36 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |