← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: James Linington, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 45% | 2.12 |
| Port Vale win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Port Vale −0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Jordan Shipley · Port Vale |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jonathan Bland · Barnsley |
| 65' | ⚽ | Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel · Port Vale |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel · Port Vale |
| 89' | ⚽ | Ryan Croasdale · Port Vale |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 0 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days |
| 57.00 |
| 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1545.90 | 1552.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.94 | -3.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | — |
| league points | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |