← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver Yates, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 39% | 2.55 |
| Leyton Orient win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Leyton Orient +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Jack Marriott · Reading |
| 45' | 🟨 | Derrick Williams · Reading |
| 48' | ⚽ | Idris El Mizouni · Leyton Orient |
| 50' | 🟨 | Thomas James · Leyton Orient |
| 51' | 🟨 | Ashqar Ahmed · Reading |
| 76' | 🟨 | Lewis Wing · Reading |
| 79' | ⚽ | Liam Fraser · Reading |
| 84' | 🟨 | Azeem Abdulai · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matt Ritchie · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andre Garcia · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Koroma |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 50.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1530.96 | 1616.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.32 | -24.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |