← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: James Linington, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Peterboro win | 26% | 3.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −0.5 | 51% | 2.00 |
| Plymouth −0.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Alex Mitchell · Plymouth |
| 28' | 🟨 | Brandon Khela · Peterboro |
| 31' | ⚽ | — · Peterboro |
| 67' | 🟨 | Tegan Finn · Plymouth |
| 76' | 🟨 | Matthew Garbett · Peterboro |
| 77' | 🟨 | Matthew Sorinola · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 50.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1506.50 | 1372.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.17 | -15.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.13 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |