← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 20, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Martin Coy, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Barnsley win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Blackpool −0.25 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | 🟨 | Jonathan Bland · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Brown · Blackpool |
| 90' | 🟨 | Albie Morgan · Blackpool |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jordan Brown · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 50.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1471.55 | 1490.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.97 | 11.45 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| league points | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 2.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.39 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 25.78 |
| state index | -0.64 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |