← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: David Rock, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Leyton Orient win | 28% | 3.52 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bolton +0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Josh Dacres-Cogley · Bolton |
| 29' | 🟨 | Demetri Mitchell · Leyton Orient |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jack Simpson · Leyton Orient |
| 69' | ⚽ | Jack Simpson · Leyton Orient |
| 87' | 🟨 | George Johnston · Bolton |
| 89' | 🟨 | Thomas James · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Amario Cozier-Duberry · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Brisbane Road |
| coach days |
| 43.00 |
| 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.77 |
| elo | 1620.24 | 1557.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.39 | 14.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 65.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 13.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 19.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 1.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.08 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |