← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Elliot Bell, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Reading win | 25% | 3.81 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Reading −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.61 |
| Under | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Josh Earl · Barnsley |
| 22' | 🟨 | Matty Jacob · Reading |
| 35' | ⚽ | Jack Marriott · Reading |
| 37' | 🟨 | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 38' | 🟨 | Charlie Savage · Reading |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ashqar Ahmed · Reading |
| 55' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Adam Phillips · Barnsley |
| 66' | ⚽ | Daniel Kyerewaa · Reading |
| 70' | 🟨 | Daniel Kyerewaa · Reading |
| 73' | 🟨 | Finley Burns |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| 88' | 🟨 | Luca Connell · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Murphy Cooper · Barnsley |
| coach days | 43.00 | 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1546.37 | 1539.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.42 | -17.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| league points | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |