← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Scott Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 48% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
| Mansfield win | 26% | 3.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield −0.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Wycombe −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 14' | ⚽ | Sam Bell · Wycombe |
| 28' | 🟨 | Ryan Sweeney · Mansfield |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jordan Bowery · Mansfield |
| 51' | 🟨 | Frazer Blake-Tracy · Mansfield |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Cauley Woodrow · Wycombe |
| 58' | 🟨 | Cauley Woodrow · Wycombe |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ewan Henderson · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 36.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1583.68 | 1547.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.24 | 42.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.67 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |